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According to a recent NASA study, the volume and area of the Arctic ice caps fluctuate from year to year based on atmospheric cycles, but the overall trend has been declining as average surface temperatures rise. Estimates show that the overall area covered by the thickest ice, known as multiyear ice, has been shrinking between 12% and 17% per decade over the past 30 years. Although melting sea ice does not raise sea levels because the ice is already floating, melting land ice (such as mountain glaciers and ice sheets) do raise sea levels as the water flows into the ocean, and this carries important consequences beyond the affected wildlife.
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Studies reported by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change predict that global sea levels will rise between 10 and 32 inches by the end of the century.
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There is scientific consensus that without a significant reduction in the production of greenhouse gases, which engulf the atmosphere and lead to global warming, irreversible damage to the climate, ecosystems, and coastlines will result.
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A sense of urgency surrounds climate change because the state of climate change science has advanced to the point where scientists are able to put probability estimates on certain impacts of warming, some of which are catastrophic. The major impacts of climate change are in the areas of food security, water resources, ecosystems, extreme weather events, and rising sea levels. The IPCC summarizes the consequences of climate change by listing five key "reasons for concern" as follows:
1. Unique and threatened systems: Many ecosystems are at risk, such as the diminishing Arctic sea ice and coral reefs, which leads to the extinction of species.
2. Extreme weather events: An increase in heat waves, heavy precipitation, and coastal flooding [...].
4. Global aggregate impacts: Extensive biodiversity loss [...].
5. Large-scale singular events: Melting ice sheets will lead to rising sea levels [...].